June 17, 2008
Obama's Unity Bounce (Ryan J. Davis)
The McCain campaign is facing down a nearly impossible task: trying to get 270 electoral votes in November.
The state that delivered Bush the election in 2004, Ohio, isn't shaping up to be McCain Country. "Barack Obama appears to be enjoying a strong unity bounce in Ohio," says Dean Debnam, president of Public Policy Polling (PPP). "He begins the general-election campaign in a strong position in the state."
PPP gives Obama an 11-point lead over McCain, which is way beyond the margin of error. Other states that have been solidly GOP for years appear to be in range for Obama, including Virginia (where Rasmussen gives Obama a slim lead) and North Carolina. Both Iowa and Colorado, which Bush won in ’04, don't even appear competitive for McCain.
Are we headed toward a major party realignment? The future looks bright.
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The polls have been in error before. I think it's somewhat delusional at this point to predict Obama will sweep the nation. His politics make him a Jimmy Carter retread, and I doubt that the nation is ready for Jimmy Carter II. As far as his chances of winning various states I doubt he will win that many. The only bright thing about his future is that he has nowhere to go but down.
Comment by Robert Rosencrans — June 17, 2008 @ 1:34 pm
The unity bounce is already fading. Obama is headed for defeat as his performance in many areas that are neither predominantly black nor mostly college educated liberals-centric in the latter months of primary campaign would indicate. It's obviously a close call, but the zenith he reached around Super Tuesday will never be equaled now that many of his associations have been publicized.
Comment by Igor R. — June 17, 2008 @ 1:41 pm
I think it's pretty ludicrous to label Obama Jimmy Carter II. It just shows how seriously out of touch you are Robert. I worry about you, you have the views of an 80 year old man with 1 foot in the grave. Don't you want progress at all?
Comment by Ryan J. Davis — June 17, 2008 @ 1:53 pm
Sorry Ryan, but RR may not be that far off base. Like Carter, Obama is one of the most liberal politicians we've seen in a long time. He talks about "change" like everyone wants it. Some people don't! Some of us don't want a change in the tax system, or a change in abortion laws, or a change in gay marriage laws.
You "progressives" think change is good for everyone, and if someone doesn't agree with you, you label them as out of touch, a neo-con, or a Bush follower.
None of which is necessarily true.
Comment by John Simmons — June 17, 2008 @ 2:27 pm
Igor;
Quit yer whining. Your choices for president this cycle were disappointing and you got John McCain as the booby prize. Don't hate, remember George W. Bush is responsible for this and we Democrat would like to thank him.
Comment by Mike Coleman — June 17, 2008 @ 2:39 pm
Ryan, what kind of question is this "Don't you want progress at all?" It's so loaded as to be totally meaningless, and on top of it in the present context it seems to take the self-described Progressives and equate whatever it is they want with the only kind of progress possible, highly positive at that. Don't you want to live in the greatest country in the world? Don't you want to be free? Don't you want to keep your money and not have it taken by the government in greater and greater amounts?
I've lived the Soc.ialist progress and I don't want to again.
Comment by Igor R. — June 17, 2008 @ 2:58 pm
Mike whether I like Obama or not has nothing to do with McCain, Bush, or other irrelevant consideration. I will not embrace a Marxist menace simply because he is popular or because Bush made his possible or because it's so nice to give an African American a chance.
He is an evil person regardless of all those other considerations and regardless of how many people faint at his rallies.
Comment by Igor R. — June 17, 2008 @ 3:00 pm
Ryan: It's better to have one foot in the grave, then to have a dead brain, like you appear to have. That idiotic insult you wrote makes you sound like an immature little snot with little in the way of brain power. Like most liberals, you can't debate ideas, you can only label people, and apparently that's your idea of progress. If someone doesn't agree with you then you insult them. Sounds like liberal progress to me. By the way, you have to ask yourself, why did my post affect you so? If there wasn't any truth in it, you would have laughed it off. No, you know it's true so you came out firing with the half witted insult. Supporting a anti-American communist wannabe for President who spent 20 years in a white hating cult which masqueraded as a church isn't my idea of progress. The real question is, why is it yours?
Comment by Robert Rosencrans — June 17, 2008 @ 3:37 pm
By the way Ryan, don't let this make you bitter, but if it does, you can always to turn to guns or religion.
Comment by Robert Rosencrans — June 17, 2008 @ 3:40 pm
http://www.fivethirtyeight.com does extensive analysis of the electoral college map. Not only OH and VA, but I hear that McCain is only leading TX by single digits. While I do agree that Texas is a long shot, Obama will have the resources to make McCain sweat in other traditional red states. Bob Barr and Ron Paul are joining forces and they could put GA and other southern states in play..
It does not look good for the GOP.
Comment by Theard — June 17, 2008 @ 4:09 pm
Here's a Rasmussen poll, a respected poll, not some slick looking web site that may or may not be accurate. The Rasmussen poll indicates that it's a toss up. If you will remember, those same polls showed Bush was losing in the 2000 election, or in the case of the 2004 election was too close to call when in fact, Bush won against Kerry handily.
http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/election_20082/2008_presidential_election/election_2008_electoral_college_update
Comment by Robert Rosencrans — June 17, 2008 @ 4:29 pm
Obama advisers say bin Laden can appeal to U.S. courts:
http://www.examiner.com/a-1445814~Obama_advisers_say_bin_Laden_can_appeal_to_U_S__courts.html
Now THAT'S progress we can believe in!
Comment by Igor R. — June 17, 2008 @ 5:14 pm
Ryan, do you believe in progress in Iraq? If not, read this first-hand account:
http://www.thomastontimes.com/articles/2008/06/16/news/local1.prt
Comment by Igor R. — June 17, 2008 @ 5:48 pm
Well. there goes the Dumbnamic Duo of Igor and Rosencrans again. I keep looking at RR's comments for anything resembling "debate(ing)ideas" and that does not "label people."
But what I see is "Jimmy Carter retread," "immature little snot" and "anti-American communist wannabe."
Rosencrans, it's looking like a race to the bottom of the barrel between you and Igor; at this point it looks like your winning. Even Igor is trying to at least "debate ideas" and seems to be avoiding the tendency to "label people."
I'm not sure, but I think the psychiatrists call it "projecting."
Comment by smilinjack — June 17, 2008 @ 7:09 pm
Igor & RR;
You post of late have been filled with hate. What's wrong boys? Is it because the candidate of your party is as exciting as watching paint dry? His attempt to upstage Obama on the night that Obama finally won the nomination was a big flop and it hasn't gotten any better. Igor, enough wiht the Marxist tripe, you know better or maybe oyu don't. Please enlighten us with your definition and Obama's Marxist stances. I bet you can't. Yes we can!
Comment by Mike Coleman — June 17, 2008 @ 8:17 pm
How Marxism took over US Education:
http://www.americanthinker.com/2008/06/how_our_marxist_faculties_got.html
Comment by Igor R. — June 17, 2008 @ 9:17 pm
New Poll out today
http://www.thevaneljournal.com/2008/06/new-quinnipiac-poll-shows-obama-leading.html
Comment by Theard — June 18, 2008 @ 10:40 am
Mike Coleman: There's nothing hateful about telling the truth. Hateful is when you label the truth as hate, you know, like you always do.
Comment by Robert Rosencrans — June 18, 2008 @ 11:39 am
smilinjack: It's amazing how you never post an opinion, but simply put downs of other posters, which is what you accuse others of doing? Sociopath?
Comment by Robert Rosencrans — June 18, 2008 @ 11:50 am
RR;
Okay tell us a truth. Why do you think that McCain is good for America and Obama is not and list the facts, not your opinions. Can you do that without calling people names.
Comment by Mike Coleman — June 18, 2008 @ 1:51 pm
Mike Coleman: I think I've explained all that and without using your favorite tactic of labeling people and then coming back and acting like you have the moral authority to question anyone. You've called me a liar on several occasions. Obviously, I don't owe you anything. And by the way, don't believe that everyone here doesn't see right through your ploy. As far as labeling people, I feel it's fair as long they start with the labels. In the meantime think of me as a proud American label maker. Made in the USA.
Comment by Robert Rosencrans — June 18, 2008 @ 2:37 pm
Mike, before policies let's look at some quotes:
Obama: "I never emulate white men and brown men whose fates didn't speak to my own. It was into my father's image, the black man, son of Africa, that I'd packed all the attributes I sought in myself, the attributes of Martin and Malcolm, Dubois and Mandela."
Mandela: "Long live the Cuban Revolution. Long live comrade Fidel Castro… Cuban internationalists have done so much for African independence, freedom, and justice. We admire the sacrifices of the Cuban people in maintaining their independence and sovereignty in the face of a vicious imperialist campaign designed to destroy the advances of the Cuban revolution. We too want to control our destiny… There can be no surrender. It is a case of freedom or death. The Cuban revolution has been a source of inspiration to all freedom-loving people."
Malcolm X: "There is a wide superficial tendency among some of our intellectuals that reading quotations from Marx, Lenin, and Mao Tse-Tung can make them masters of revolutionary theories developed by these great men. Intellectualism in my view is not merely the recitation of Marxism, Leninism, and Mao Tse-tung theories. Anyone who goes about misusing the works of these great men or attributing to himself their progressive phrases for his own ends is committing a serious crime against the black race. A scholar in my opinion constitutes a guiding light in a revolutionary period and is the bond that unites the abstract and the concrete."
Policies? Income redistribution, and specifically punishing those with "windfall profits" and increased government control of the economy from "green jobs" to healthcare. Everything that Obama says is essentially "from each according to their ability, to each according to their need".
Comment by Igor R. — June 18, 2008 @ 3:16 pm
The trouble with Obama supporters is that they are all like abunch of activists that are young and they go around and smear and ridicule anyone who is not for Obama. The viciousness in their blogs are horrific and i can't understand how the american people could tolerate it.Obama is spending a fortune on hiringthese bloggers to make them look stupid even though the questions they have are legitament and serious. Obama knows what they are doing and therefore it is questionable how he says he is a uniter when he allows such hatred to spew from his camp. he is after all another chicago politican who will do anything and everything to win and smile and ay a nice speech and try to look like he means what he says. not buying any of it!
Comment by linda hemmingsen — June 18, 2008 @ 3:41 pm
macain is a war hero, he is patriotic, he loves his country, and he has always been on the other side of bush as a maverick. for Obama to paint him the same as bush is laughable and as a canadian i can see this so can others. at least he loves his country for obama and michelle to say they love their country and stay in a church where they are anti- american and anti -white how can you say you love your country.for them to hear that americans owe them because of slavery it was the blacks that brought you to america as slaves. and i think the Indians would have more to say than you. get over your hatred and try teaching your children to be proud americans instead of listening to what is perceived by your church that you are owed something. most americans were not alive when all this happened so get over it it didn't affect you. you managed to get your law degrees and have a good living so quit it .
Comment by linda hemmingsen — June 18, 2008 @ 3:52 pm
Linda–
Stop watching FOX news, here are some vids of the "maverick" himself.
http://www.thevaneljournal.com/2008/06/mccains-youtube-problems-continue.html
Comment by Theard — June 18, 2008 @ 5:07 pm